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Campeonato de Portugal · Portugal
Rebordosa AC vs FC Vinhais
Full time: 8-0
Our pick
WonHT 1X (Home/Draw)
Chance
86%
Fair price
1.17
Take at least
1.23
- Our models: 86%.
- Expected goals: 1.6 (Rebordosa AC 1.1, FC Vinhais 0.6).
- Fair price: 1.17. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.23 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Rebordosa AC1.08
FC Vinhais0.56
Total 1.64 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 67% | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.81 | 4.10 |
| Away win | 13% | 7.87 | 6.25 |
| Home or draw | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Draw or away | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Home or away | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 49% | 2.06 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 23% | 4.42 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 8% | 11.92 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 | – |
| Both teams score | 28% | 3.57 | – |
| Not both teams score | 72% | 1.39 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.