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Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda vs Jong AZ
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Roda1.87
Jong AZ1.34
Total 3.21 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 50% | 2.02 | – |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 | – |
| Away win | 27% | 3.65 | – |
| Home or draw | 73% | 1.38 | – |
| Draw or away | 50% | 1.98 | – |
| Home or away | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.51 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.64 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Both teams score | 63% | 1.60 | – |
| Not both teams score | 37% | 2.68 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.