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Serie A · Italy
Roma vs Cagliari
Our pick
82% chance12 (Home/Away)
Chance
82%
Fair price
1.23
Best price found
1.15
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 82% (4 bookmakers).
- Our models: 79% to 80%.
- Expected goals: 2.9 (Roma 2.1, Cagliari 0.8).
- Fair price: 1.23. Best price found: 1.15.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Roma2.05
Cagliari0.80
Total 2.85 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 72% | 1.39 | 1.36 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.44 | 5.30 |
| Away win | 10% | 10.43 | 10.50 |
| Home or draw | 88% | 1.13 | 1.07 |
| Draw or away | 30% | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Home or away | 82% | 1.23 | 1.15 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 | 1.70 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.97 | 2.71 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 | 2.12 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | 1.44 |
| Both teams score | 46% | 2.17 | 2.00 |
| Not both teams score | 54% | 1.86 | 1.74 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.