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Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara vs Benfica
Our pick
81% chance12 (Home/Away)
Chance
81%
Fair price
1.24
Best price found
1.16
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 81% (5 bookmakers).
- Our models: 75% to 76%.
- Expected goals: 2.3 (Santa Clara 0.7, Benfica 1.6).
- Fair price: 1.24. Best price found: 1.16.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Santa Clara0.70
Benfica1.62
Total 2.32 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 10% | 9.66 | 8.19 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.17 | 4.67 |
| Away win | 70% | 1.42 | 1.37 |
| Home or draw | 31% | 3.25 | 3.04 |
| Draw or away | 88% | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Home or away | 81% | 1.24 | 1.16 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 | 1.83 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.47 | 3.04 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 | 1.95 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | 1.33 |
| Both teams score | 43% | 2.30 | 2.11 |
| Not both teams score | 57% | 1.77 | 1.65 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.