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Série A · Brazil
Santos vs Palmeiras
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Santos1.09
Palmeiras1.43
Total 2.53 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 33% | 3.06 | 2.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.58 | 3.34 |
| Away win | 39% | 2.54 | 2.40 |
| Home or draw | 61% | 1.63 | 1.53 |
| Draw or away | 67% | 1.49 | 1.40 |
| Home or away | 71% | 1.40 | 1.32 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.05 | 1.93 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.71 | 3.33 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 | 1.84 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | 1.31 |
| Both teams score | 54% | 1.85 | 1.72 |
| Not both teams score | 46% | 2.18 | 2.00 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.