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Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo vs Lazio
Our pick
79% chanceOver 1.5
Chance
79%
Fair price
1.27
Best price found
1.22
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 79% (2 bookmakers).
- Our models: 74% to 76%.
- Expected goals: 2.7 (Sassuolo 1.3, Lazio 1.5).
- Fair price: 1.27. Best price found: 1.22.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Sassuolo1.25
Lazio1.46
Total 2.71 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 33% | 3.07 | 3.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| Away win | 41% | 2.45 | 2.40 |
| Home or draw | 61% | 1.64 | 1.54 |
| Draw or away | 67% | 1.50 | 1.41 |
| Home or away | 72% | 1.38 | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 | 1.75 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 2.99 | 2.73 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 | 2.08 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 | 1.43 |
| Both teams score | 60% | 1.68 | 1.57 |
| Not both teams score | 40% | 2.48 | 2.27 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.