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Campeonato de Portugal · Portugal
SC Maria da Fonte vs Grupo Desportivo de Bragança
Full time: 1-2
Our pick
WonAway Over 0.5
Chance
78%
Fair price
1.28
Take at least
1.35
- Our models: 78%.
- Expected goals: 2.6 (SC Maria da Fonte 1.1, Grupo Desportivo de Bragança 1.5).
- Fair price: 1.28. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.35 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
SC Maria da Fonte1.07
Grupo Desportivo de Bragança1.51
Total 2.58 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 32% | 3.13 | 2.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.62 | 3.20 |
| Away win | 40% | 2.47 | 2.25 |
| Home or draw | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Draw or away | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Home or away | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.38 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.10 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.86 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Both teams score | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Not both teams score | 49% | 2.04 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.