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Campeonato de Portugal · Portugal
SC Mineiro Aljustrelense vs Imortal Deportivo Clube
Full time: 1-1
Our pick
LostHT X2 (Draw/Away)
Chance
83%
Fair price
1.20
Take at least
1.26
- Our models: 83% to 84%.
- Expected goals: 2.3 (SC Mineiro Aljustrelense 0.8, Imortal Deportivo Clube 1.5).
- Fair price: 1.20. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.26 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
SC Mineiro Aljustrelense0.77
Imortal Deportivo Clube1.49
Total 2.26 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 23% | 4.33 | 3.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.88 | 3.40 |
| Away win | 51% | 1.95 | 1.80 |
| Home or draw | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Draw or away | 80% | 1.24 | – |
| Home or away | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.55 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.21 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Both teams score | 41% | 2.41 | – |
| Not both teams score | 59% | 1.71 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.