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Campeonato de Portugal · Portugal
Sertanense vs CD Fátima
Full time: 2-2
Our pick
LostUnder 3.5
Chance
76%
Fair price
1.32
Take at least
1.39
- Our models: 76%.
- Expected goals: 2.5 (Sertanense 1.3, CD Fátima 1.2).
- Fair price: 1.32. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.39 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Sertanense1.27
CD Fátima1.23
Total 2.50 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 42% | 2.41 | 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.48 | 3.10 |
| Away win | 30% | 3.36 | 3.00 |
| Home or draw | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Draw or away | 63% | 1.60 | – |
| Home or away | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Both teams score | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Not both teams score | 49% | 2.03 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.