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National League North / South · England
Southport vs Macclesfield
Our pick
86% chanceHT Under 2.5
Chance
86%
Fair price
1.17
Take at least
1.22
- Our models: 86%.
- Expected goals: 2.9 (Southport 1.2, Macclesfield 1.7).
- Fair price: 1.17. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.22 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Southport1.18
Macclesfield1.73
Total 2.91 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 26% | 3.84 | – |
| Draw | 24% | 4.19 | – |
| Away win | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Home or draw | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Draw or away | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.01 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Both teams score | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Not both teams score | 43% | 2.33 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.