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Campeonato de Portugal · Portugal
Sport Comércio e Salgueiros vs AD Ovarense
Full time: 0-2
Our pick
WonUnder 3.5
Chance
85%
Fair price
1.18
Take at least
1.24
- Our models: 84% to 85%.
- Expected goals: 2.1 (Sport Comércio e Salgueiros 1.0, AD Ovarense 1.0).
- Fair price: 1.18. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.24 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Sport Comércio e Salgueiros1.01
AD Ovarense1.04
Total 2.05 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 30% | 3.36 | 3.00 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.36 | 3.00 |
| Away win | 41% | 2.47 | 2.25 |
| Home or draw | 64% | 1.55 | – |
| Draw or away | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Home or away | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.96 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% | 6.55 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Both teams score | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Not both teams score | 59% | 1.70 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.