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Liga 3 · Portugal
Sporting Covilhã vs Caldas SC
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Sporting Covilhã1.23
Caldas SC1.07
Total 2.31 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 40% | 2.51 | – |
| Draw | 28% | 3.59 | – |
| Away win | 32% | 3.10 | – |
| Home or draw | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Draw or away | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Home or away | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.47 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.96 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.68 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Both teams score | 46% | 2.15 | – |
| Not both teams score | 54% | 1.87 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.