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2. Bundesliga · Germany
St Pauli vs Nurnberg
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
St Pauli1.44
Nurnberg1.11
Total 2.56 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Draw | 28% | 3.62 | – |
| Away win | 29% | 3.51 | – |
| Home or draw | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Draw or away | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Home or away | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 3.93 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Both teams score | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Not both teams score | 48% | 2.08 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.