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Campeonato de Portugal · Portugal
SU Sintrense vs Amora FC
Full time: 2-1
Our pick
WonUnder 4.5
Chance
85%
Fair price
1.18
Take at least
1.24
- Our models: 85%.
- Expected goals: 2.8 (SU Sintrense 1.8, Amora FC 1.0).
- Fair price: 1.18. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.24 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
SU Sintrense1.77
Amora FC1.01
Total 2.78 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 43% | 2.35 | 2.15 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.61 | 3.20 |
| Away win | 30% | 3.36 | 3.00 |
| Home or draw | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Draw or away | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Home or away | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.29 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.44 | – |
| Both teams score | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Not both teams score | 47% | 2.12 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.