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Bundesliga · Germany
SV 07 Elversberg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
SV 07 Elversberg1.60
1. FSV Mainz 051.69
Total 3.29 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 30% | 3.38 | 3.20 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.11 | 4.00 |
| Away win | 46% | 2.17 | 2.10 |
| Home or draw | 54% | 1.87 | 1.75 |
| Draw or away | 70% | 1.42 | 1.33 |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.32 | 1.24 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 | 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | 1.57 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.35 | 2.20 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.64 | 2.50 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.74 | 1.62 |
| Both teams score | 66% | 1.51 | 1.43 |
| Not both teams score | 34% | 2.97 | 2.66 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.