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National League · England
Tamworth vs Scunthorpe
Our pick
85% chanceHT Under 2.5
Chance
85%
Fair price
1.18
Take at least
1.24
- Our models: 84% to 85%.
- Expected goals: 3.0 (Tamworth 1.6, Scunthorpe 1.4).
- Fair price: 1.18. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.24 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Tamworth1.60
Scunthorpe1.43
Total 3.03 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 43% | 2.31 | 2.13 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.87 | 3.46 |
| Away win | 31% | 3.24 | 2.94 |
| Home or draw | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Draw or away | 59% | 1.71 | – |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.71 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.40 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Both teams score | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Not both teams score | 39% | 2.55 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.