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Liga Portugal 2 · Portugal

Tondela vs Felgueiras

Our pick

Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.

Published , before kick-off, and never changed.

Expected goals

Tondela1.19
Felgueiras0.86

Total 2.05 goals expected.

Chances by market

bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'
MarketChanceFair priceBest price
Home win44%2.27–
Draw29%3.39–
Away win27%3.76–
Home or draw73%1.36–
Draw or away56%1.78–
Home or away71%1.42–
Over 1.5 goals61%1.65–
Over 2.5 goals34%2.97–
Over 3.5 goals15%6.57–
Under 2.5 goals66%1.51–
Under 3.5 goals85%1.18–
Both teams score40%2.50–
Not both teams score60%1.67–

A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.