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Liga 3 · Portugal
Trofense vs AD Marco 09
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Trofense0.90
AD Marco 090.85
Total 1.76 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 35% | 2.87 | – |
| Draw | 33% | 3.03 | – |
| Away win | 32% | 3.11 | – |
| Home or draw | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Draw or away | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Home or away | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 26% | 3.88 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 10% | 9.83 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 | – |
| Both teams score | 34% | 2.95 | – |
| Not both teams score | 66% | 1.51 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.