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Bundesliga · Germany
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Leverkusen
Full time: 3-0
Our pick
Won12 (Home/Away)
Chance
76%
Fair price
1.31
Best price found
1.22
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 76% (5 bookmakers).
- Our models: 77% to 78%.
- Expected goals: 3.5 (TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1.5, Leverkusen 2.0).
- Fair price: 1.31. Best price found: 1.22.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1.52
Leverkusen2.00
Total 3.52 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 33% | 3.00 | 3.10 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.29 | 4.20 |
| Away win | 43% | 2.31 | 2.28 |
| Home or draw | 58% | 1.71 | 1.60 |
| Draw or away | 65% | 1.53 | 1.43 |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.31 | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% | 1.12 | 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 | 2.02 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 | 1.98 |
| Both teams score | 71% | 1.40 | 1.34 |
| Not both teams score | 29% | 3.48 | 3.09 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.