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Serie A · Italy
Udinese vs Milan
Full time: 0-2
Our pick
WonOver 1.5
Chance
75%
Fair price
1.33
Best price found
1.28
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 75% (4 bookmakers).
- Our models: 77% to 78%.
- Expected goals: 2.8 (Udinese 1.1, Milan 1.7).
- Fair price: 1.33. Best price found: 1.28.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Udinese1.13
Milan1.71
Total 2.83 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 20% | 5.02 | 4.90 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 | 3.80 |
| Away win | 55% | 1.83 | 1.86 |
| Home or draw | 46% | 2.15 | 2.01 |
| Draw or away | 79% | 1.27 | 1.18 |
| Home or away | 75% | 1.34 | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | 1.95 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.46 | 3.14 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.04 | 2.04 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | 1.35 |
| Both teams score | 52% | 1.91 | 1.79 |
| Not both teams score | 48% | 2.10 | 1.96 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.