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J1 League · Japan
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
V-Varen Nagasaki1.34
Tokyo Verdy1.04
Total 2.38 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Draw | 28% | 3.61 | – |
| Away win | 29% | 3.44 | – |
| Home or draw | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Draw or away | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Home or away | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.35 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.59 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Both teams score | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Not both teams score | 52% | 1.92 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.