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Série A · Brazil
Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Vasco da Gama1.13
Flamengo1.60
Total 2.73 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 26% | 3.81 | 3.54 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 | 3.49 |
| Away win | 47% | 2.13 | 2.03 |
| Home or draw | 54% | 1.85 | 1.75 |
| Draw or away | 72% | 1.38 | 1.30 |
| Home or away | 74% | 1.36 | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 | 1.84 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.40 | 3.04 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.06 | 1.93 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.42 | 1.35 |
| Both teams score | 55% | 1.81 | 1.69 |
| Not both teams score | 45% | 2.24 | 2.06 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.