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La Liga · Spain
Villarreal vs Espanyol
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Villarreal2.21
Espanyol1.01
Total 3.21 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 64% | 1.55 | 1.49 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.97 | 4.54 |
| Away win | 16% | 6.43 | 5.75 |
| Home or draw | 83% | 1.21 | 1.14 |
| Draw or away | 37% | 2.67 | 2.52 |
| Home or away | 80% | 1.25 | 1.18 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | 1.53 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | 2.35 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 | 2.46 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | 1.61 |
| Both teams score | 57% | 1.75 | 1.64 |
| Not both teams score | 43% | 2.33 | 2.14 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.