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Serie B · Italy
Virtus Entella vs Avellino
Our pick
81% chanceUnder 3.5
Chance
81%
Fair price
1.24
Take at least
1.30
- Our models: 81%.
- Expected goals: 2.2 (Virtus Entella 1.2, Avellino 1.1).
- Fair price: 1.24. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.30 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Virtus Entella1.17
Avellino1.08
Total 2.25 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 47% | 2.14 | 2.03 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.48 | 3.25 |
| Away win | 25% | 4.08 | 3.77 |
| Home or draw | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Draw or away | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Home or away | 70% | 1.44 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.56 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.25 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Both teams score | 46% | 2.15 | – |
| Not both teams score | 54% | 1.87 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.