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League Two · England
Walsall vs Salford
Our pick
80% chanceOver 1.5
Chance
80%
Fair price
1.26
Best price found
1.20
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 80% (4 bookmakers).
- Our models: 73%.
- Expected goals: 2.6 (Walsall 1.4, Salford 1.2).
- Fair price: 1.26. Best price found: 1.20.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Walsall1.41
Salford1.17
Total 2.58 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 29% | 3.48 | 3.17 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.88 | 3.50 |
| Away win | 45% | 2.20 | 2.06 |
| Home or draw | 55% | 1.81 | 1.66 |
| Draw or away | 71% | 1.41 | 1.30 |
| Home or away | 74% | 1.35 | 1.24 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.26 | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 | 1.71 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.09 | 2.75 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.23 | 2.07 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.48 | 1.40 |
| Both teams score | 59% | 1.69 | 1.60 |
| Not both teams score | 41% | 2.44 | 2.25 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.