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Bundesliga · Germany
Werder Bremen vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Werder Bremen1.67
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1.59
Total 3.26 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 32% | 3.13 | 3.05 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.29 | 4.20 |
| Away win | 45% | 2.24 | 2.20 |
| Home or draw | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Draw or away | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | 1.40 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | 1.98 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.11 | 2.80 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | 1.83 |
| Both teams score | 65% | 1.53 | – |
| Not both teams score | 35% | 2.87 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.