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Challenge League · Switzerland
Xamax vs Aarau
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Xamax1.66
Aarau1.67
Total 3.33 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 38% | 2.65 | – |
| Draw | 24% | 4.12 | – |
| Away win | 38% | 2.63 | – |
| Home or draw | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Draw or away | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Both teams score | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Not both teams score | 34% | 2.98 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.