Atlético San Luis v Atlas FCPrediction

Liga MX, Mexico2026-10-31 02:00 UTC

Analysis & breakdown

Written from the numbers on this page.

Atlético San Luis play Atlas FC in the Liga MX. Our pick is published about 48 hours before kick-off; until then, this is how the numbers see the match.

Chances of the result: Atlético San Luis 37%, draw 27%, Atlas FC 37%. Expected goals: 3.1 in total (Atlético San Luis 1.8, Atlas FC 1.3).

Recent form, newest first: Atlético San Luis W-W-D-L-W, Atlas FC W-L-W-D-W. Last 5 meetings: Atlético San Luis won 2, Atlas FC won 3, 0 drawn.

Oracle Conviction

Pick coming

Published 2026-10-29 02:00 UTC

We choose the pick about 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. After that it does not change.

Atlético San Luis	Tale of the tape	Atlas FC
1.79	Expected goals	1.28
WWDLW	Last 5	WLWDW
8–6	Goals, last 5	12–11
2	Meetings won	3

2026-02-21 Atlas FC 3-2 Atlético San Luis
2025-10-18 Atlético San Luis 2-0 Atlas FC
2025-03-03 Atlas FC 3-1 Atlético San Luis
2024-08-31 Atlético San Luis 2-1 Atlas FC
2024-04-15 Atlas FC 2-1 Atlético San Luis

How the match could go

Atlético San Luis win: 37%
Draw: 27%
Atlas FC win: 37%

Over 2.5 goals	55%
Both teams to score	60%
Goals expected in total	3.08

Chances by market

Bookmakers' chances with their margin taken out where they price the market; our models' chances where they don't. The fair price is 1 divided by the chance.

Market	Chance	Fair price	Best price
Atlético San Luis to win	37%	2.73	2.52
Draw	27%	3.74	3.38
Atlas FC to win	37%	2.73	2.52
Atlético San Luis or draw	64%	1.57	1.46
Draw or Atlas FC	63%	1.58	1.47
Either team to win	73%	1.37	1.27
Over 1.5 goals	79%	1.26	1.20
Over 2.5 goals	55%	1.81	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	33%	3.01	2.68
Under 2.5 goals	45%	2.23	2.07
Under 3.5 goals	67%	1.50	1.41
Both teams to score	60%	1.67	1.56
Not both teams to score	40%	2.50	2.25