Real Valladolid v LeganesPrediction
Segunda División, SpainEstadio Nuevo José Zorrilla
Analysis & breakdown
Written from the numbers on this page.
Real Valladolid play Leganes at Estadio Nuevo José Zorrilla in the Segunda División. Our pick is published about 48 hours before kick-off; until then, this is how the numbers see the match.
Result chances: Real Valladolid 42%, draw 29%, Leganes 29%.
In the table, Real Valladolid are 15th on 12 points and Leganes are 17th on 12.
Recent form, newest first: Real Valladolid L-L-W-D-W, Leganes D-L-L-L-L.
Expected goals: 2.2 in total (Real Valladolid 1.2, Leganes 1.0).
Oracle Conviction
Pick coming
Published
We choose the pick about 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. After that it does not change.
Tale of the tape
| Real Valladolid | Tale of the tape |  Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| 1.25 | Expected goals | 0.99 |
| 15th of 22 | League position | 17th of 22 |
| 12 | Points | 12 |
| LLWDW | Last 5 | DLLLL |
| 13–8 | Goals, last 5 | 1–11 |
| 2 | Meetings won, 1 drawn | 2 |
- 2026-03-14 Real Valladolid 3-2 Leganes
- 2026-01-11 Leganes 3-0 Real Valladolid
- 2025-05-24 Leganes 3-0 Real Valladolid
- 2024-08-28 Real Valladolid 0-0 Leganes
- 2020-06-13 Leganes 1-2 Real Valladolid
How the match could go
- Real Valladolid win
- 42%
- Draw
- 29%
- Leganes win
- 29%
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Goals expected in total | 2.24 |
Chances by market
Bookmakers' chances with their margin taken out where they price the market; our models' chances where they don't. The fair price is 1 divided by the chance.
| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid to win | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Draw | 29% | 3.48 | – |
| Leganes to win | 29% | 3.43 | – |
| Real Valladolid or draw | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Draw or Leganes | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Either team to win | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.58 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.30 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.63 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Both teams to score | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Not both teams to score | 55% | 1.82 | – |
Questions about this match
When is the prediction for Real Valladolid vs Leganes published?
About 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. It is fixed from then on.
Who is more likely to win, Real Valladolid or Leganes?
Real Valladolid win 42%, draw 29%, Leganes win 29%.
Will both teams score in Real Valladolid vs Leganes?
We give both teams to score a 45% chance, and not both teams to score 55%.
How many goals are expected in Real Valladolid vs Leganes?
Expected goals: 2.2 in total (Real Valladolid 1.3, Leganes 1.0). Over 2.5 goals has a 39% chance.
When and where is Real Valladolid vs Leganes?
Monday 2 November at 17:30 UTC, in the Segunda División (Spain), at Estadio Nuevo José Zorrilla.
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