Sacramento Republic FC v FC TulsaPrediction
USL Championship, USA
Analysis & breakdown
Written from the numbers on this page.
Sacramento Republic FC play FC Tulsa in the USL Championship. Our pick is published about 48 hours before kick-off; until then, this is how the numbers see the match.
Chances of the result: Sacramento Republic FC 46%, draw 30%, FC Tulsa 24%. Expected goals: 2.1 in total (Sacramento Republic FC 1.3, FC Tulsa 0.8).
Recent form, newest first: Sacramento Republic FC W-W-D-D-W, FC Tulsa L-L-D-D-W. Last 5 meetings: Sacramento Republic FC won 1, FC Tulsa won 3, 1 drawn.
Oracle Conviction
Pick coming
Published
We choose the pick about 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. After that it does not change.
Tale of the tape
| Sacramento Republic FC | Tale of the tape |  FC Tulsa |
|---|---|---|
| 1.25 | Expected goals | 0.83 |
| WWDDW | Last 5 | LLDDW |
| 9–6 | Goals, last 5 | 4–7 |
| 1 | Meetings won, 1 drawn | 3 |
- 2026-10-04 FC Tulsa 1-1 Sacramento Republic FC
- 2026-08-06 FC Tulsa 1-0 Sacramento Republic FC
- 2026-03-08 Sacramento Republic FC 2-0 FC Tulsa
- 2025-06-08 Sacramento Republic FC 0-1 FC Tulsa
- 2025-03-29 FC Tulsa 1-0 Sacramento Republic FC
How the match could go
- Sacramento Republic FC win
- 46%
- Draw
- 30%
- FC Tulsa win
- 24%
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% |
| Both teams to score | 41% |
| Goals expected in total | 2.08 |
Chances by market
Bookmakers' chances with their margin taken out where they price the market; our models' chances where they don't. The fair price is 1 divided by the chance.
| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Republic FC to win | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Draw | 30% | 3.33 | – |
| FC Tulsa to win | 24% | 4.14 | – |
| Sacramento Republic FC or draw | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Draw or FC Tulsa | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Either team to win | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.90 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 6.34 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | – |
| Both teams to score | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Not both teams to score | 59% | 1.69 | – |
Questions about this match
When is the prediction for Sacramento Republic FC vs FC Tulsa published?
About 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. It is fixed from then on.
Who is more likely to win, Sacramento Republic FC or FC Tulsa?
Sacramento Republic FC win 46%, draw 30%, FC Tulsa win 24%.
Will both teams score in Sacramento Republic FC vs FC Tulsa?
We give both teams to score a 41% chance, and not both teams to score 59%.
How many goals are expected in Sacramento Republic FC vs FC Tulsa?
Expected goals: 2.1 in total (Sacramento Republic FC 1.3, FC Tulsa 0.8). Over 2.5 goals has a 35% chance.
When and where is Sacramento Republic FC vs FC Tulsa?
Monday 2 November at 02:00 UTC, in the USL Championship (USA).
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