Salzburg v A. LustenauPrediction
Bundesliga, AustriaRed Bull Arena
Analysis & breakdown
Written from the numbers on this page.
Salzburg play A. Lustenau at Red Bull Arena in the Bundesliga. Our pick is published about 48 hours before kick-off; until then, this is how the numbers see the match.
Chances of the result: Salzburg 82%, draw 12%, A. Lustenau 6%. Expected goals: 4.0 in total (Salzburg 3.2, A.
Lustenau 0.8). In the table, Salzburg are 2nd on 24 points and A. Lustenau are 10th on 8.
Recent form, newest first: Salzburg W-W-D-W-D, A. Lustenau L-L-L-W-L.
Oracle Conviction
Pick coming
Published
We choose the pick about 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. After that it does not change.
Tale of the tape
| Salzburg | Tale of the tape |  A. Lustenau |
|---|---|---|
| 3.18 | Expected goals | 0.81 |
| 2nd of 12 | League position | 10th of 12 |
| 24 | Points | 8 |
| WWDWD | Last 5 | LLLWL |
| 10–2 | Goals, last 5 | 7–15 |
| 4 | Meetings won | 0 |
- 2024-02-24 Salzburg 7-0 A. Lustenau
- 2023-09-30 A. Lustenau 0-4 Salzburg
- 2023-02-11 Salzburg 4-0 A. Lustenau
- 2022-08-27 A. Lustenau 0-6 Salzburg
How the match could go
- Salzburg win
- 82%
- Draw
- 12%
- A. Lustenau win
- 6%
| Over 2.5 goals | 76% |
| Both teams to score | 54% |
| Goals expected in total | 4.00 |
Chances by market
Bookmakers' chances with their margin taken out where they price the market; our models' chances where they don't. The fair price is 1 divided by the chance.
| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Salzburg to win | 82% | 1.21 | – |
| Draw | 12% | 8.48 | – |
| A. Lustenau to win | 6% | 17.51 | – |
| Salzburg or draw | 94% | 1.06 | – |
| Draw or A. Lustenau | 18% | 5.71 | – |
| Either team to win | 88% | 1.13 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.77 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 24% | 4.17 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Not both teams to score | 46% | 2.17 | – |
Questions about this match
When is the prediction for Salzburg vs A. Lustenau published?
About 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. It is fixed from then on.
Who is more likely to win, Salzburg or A. Lustenau?
Salzburg win 82%, draw 12%, A. Lustenau win 6%.
Will both teams score in Salzburg vs A. Lustenau?
We give both teams to score a 54% chance, and not both teams to score 46%.
How many goals are expected in Salzburg vs A. Lustenau?
Expected goals: 4.0 in total (Salzburg 3.2, A. Lustenau 0.8). Over 2.5 goals has a 76% chance.
When and where is Salzburg vs A. Lustenau?
Sunday 1 November at 13:30 UTC, in the Bundesliga (Austria), at Red Bull Arena.
Hartberg
Wolfsberger AC
Austria Vienna