Sarpsborg 08 v KristiansundPrediction
Eliteserien, NorwaySarpsborg
Analysis & breakdown
Written from the numbers on this page.
Sarpsborg 08 play Kristiansund at Sarpsborg in the Eliteserien. Our pick is published about 48 hours before kick-off; until then, this is how the numbers see the match.
Chances of the result: Sarpsborg 08 60%, draw 21%, Kristiansund 19%. Expected goals: 3.1 in total (Sarpsborg 08 2.1, Kristiansund 1.1).
In the table, Sarpsborg 08 are 7th on 31 points and Kristiansund are 15th on 20. Recent form, newest first: Sarpsborg 08 W-L-W-L-D, Kristiansund D-L-L-L-L.
Oracle Conviction
Pick coming
Published
We choose the pick about 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. After that it does not change.
Tale of the tape
 Sarpsborg 08 | Tale of the tape |  Kristiansund |
|---|---|---|
| 2.06 | Expected goals | 1.06 |
| 7th of 16 | League position | 15th of 16 |
| 31 | Points | 20 |
| WLWLD | Last 5 | DLLLL |
| 8–10 | Goals, last 5 | 6–20 |
| 0 | Meetings won, 2 drawn | 3 |
- 2026-07-18 Kristiansund 0-0 Sarpsborg 08
- 2025-08-25 Sarpsborg 08 0-1 Kristiansund
- 2025-07-13 Kristiansund 0-0 Sarpsborg 08
- 2024-09-15 Sarpsborg 08 0-2 Kristiansund
- 2024-06-02 Kristiansund 3-1 Sarpsborg 08
How the match could go
- Sarpsborg 08 win
- 60%
- Draw
- 21%
- Kristiansund win
- 19%
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Both teams to score | 57% |
| Goals expected in total | 3.12 |
Chances by market
Bookmakers' chances with their margin taken out where they price the market; our models' chances where they don't. The fair price is 1 divided by the chance.
| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sarpsborg 08 to win | 60% | 1.65 | – |
| Draw | 21% | 4.85 | – |
| Kristiansund to win | 19% | 5.29 | – |
| Sarpsborg 08 or draw | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Draw or Kristiansund | 40% | 2.53 | – |
| Either team to win | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Not both teams to score | 43% | 2.33 | – |
Questions about this match
When is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund published?
About 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. It is fixed from then on.
Who is more likely to win, Sarpsborg 08 or Kristiansund?
Sarpsborg 08 win 60%, draw 21%, Kristiansund win 19%.
Will both teams score in Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund?
We give both teams to score a 57% chance, and not both teams to score 43%.
How many goals are expected in Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund?
Expected goals: 3.1 in total (Sarpsborg 08 2.1, Kristiansund 1.1). Over 2.5 goals has a 60% chance.
When and where is Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund?
Sunday 1 November at 16:00 UTC, in the Eliteserien (Norway), at Sarpsborg.
Viking
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
Sandefjord
Molde
HamKam