Southport v AFC TelfordPrediction
National League North / South, EnglandSouthport, Southport, Merseyside
Analysis & breakdown
Written from the numbers on this page.
Southport play AFC Telford at Southport in the National League North / South. Our pick is published about 48 hours before kick-off; until then, this is how the numbers see the match.
Chances of the result: Southport 31%, draw 25%, AFC Telford 44%. Expected goals: 2.9 in total (Southport 1.3, AFC Telford 1.6).
In the table, Southport are 23rd on 10 points and AFC Telford are 21st on 13. Recent form, newest first: Southport D-L-L-D-L, AFC Telford D-W-L-L-D.
Oracle Conviction
Pick coming
Published
We choose the pick about 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. After that it does not change.
Tale of the tape
| Southport | Tale of the tape | AFC Telford |
|---|---|---|
| 1.30 | Expected goals | 1.58 |
| 23rd of 24 | League position | 21st of 24 |
| 10 | Points | 13 |
| DLLDL | Last 5 | DWLLD |
| 2–7 | Goals, last 5 | 5–10 |
| 2 | Meetings won, 3 drawn | 0 |
- 2026-04-25 Southport 2-0 AFC Telford
- 2025-12-06 AFC Telford 2-2 Southport
- 2022-08-27 Southport 0-0 AFC Telford
- 2022-05-02 Southport 1-1 AFC Telford
- 2022-02-08 AFC Telford 0-3 Southport
How the match could go
- Southport win
- 31%
- Draw
- 25%
- AFC Telford win
- 44%
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Both teams to score | 58% |
| Goals expected in total | 2.88 |
Chances by market
Bookmakers' chances with their margin taken out where they price the market; our models' chances where they don't. The fair price is 1 divided by the chance.
| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southport to win | 31% | 3.19 | – |
| Draw | 25% | 4.04 | – |
| AFC Telford to win | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Southport or draw | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Draw or AFC Telford | 69% | 1.46 | – |
| Either team to win | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.06 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.48 | – |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Not both teams to score | 42% | 2.37 | – |
Questions about this match
When is the prediction for Southport vs AFC Telford published?
About 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. It is fixed from then on.
Who is more likely to win, Southport or AFC Telford?
Southport win 31%, draw 25%, AFC Telford win 44%.
Will both teams score in Southport vs AFC Telford?
We give both teams to score a 58% chance, and not both teams to score 42%.
How many goals are expected in Southport vs AFC Telford?
Expected goals: 2.9 in total (Southport 1.3, AFC Telford 1.6). Over 2.5 goals has a 55% chance.
When and where is Southport vs AFC Telford?
Saturday 31 October at 15:00 UTC, in the National League North / South (England), at Southport, Southport, Merseyside.