VPS v HJKPrediction
Veikkausliiga, Finland
Analysis & breakdown
Written from the numbers on this page.
VPS play HJK in the Veikkausliiga. Our pick is published about 48 hours before kick-off; until then, this is how the numbers see the match.
Chances of the result: VPS 29%, draw 25%, HJK 46%. Expected goals: 2.8 in total (VPS 1.2, HJK 1.6).
Recent form, newest first: VPS L-L-W-L-L, HJK D-W-W-W-D. Last 5 meetings: VPS won 1, HJK won 4, 0 drawn.
Oracle Conviction
Pick coming
Published
We choose the pick about 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. After that it does not change.
Tale of the tape
 VPS | Tale of the tape | HJK |
|---|---|---|
| 1.21 | Expected goals | 1.58 |
| LLWLL | Last 5 | DWWWD |
| 1–11 | Goals, last 5 | 17–6 |
| 1 | Meetings won | 4 |
- 2026-10-08 HJK 6-0 VPS
- 2026-07-18 HJK 2-1 VPS
- 2026-05-22 VPS 2-1 HJK
- 2025-07-05 VPS 0-2 HJK
- 2025-04-26 HJK 3-1 VPS
How the match could go
- VPS win
- 29%
- Draw
- 25%
- HJK win
- 46%
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Both teams to score | 56% |
| Goals expected in total | 2.79 |
Chances by market
Bookmakers' chances with their margin taken out where they price the market; our models' chances where they don't. The fair price is 1 divided by the chance.
| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| VPS to win | 29% | 3.43 | – |
| Draw | 25% | 3.98 | – |
| HJK to win | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| VPS or draw | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Draw or HJK | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Either team to win | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.27 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 | – |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Not both teams to score | 44% | 2.27 | – |
Questions about this match
When is the prediction for VPS vs HJK published?
About 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. It is fixed from then on.
Who is more likely to win, VPS or HJK?
VPS win 29%, draw 25%, HJK win 46%.
Will both teams score in VPS vs HJK?
We give both teams to score a 56% chance, and not both teams to score 44%.
How many goals are expected in VPS vs HJK?
Expected goals: 2.8 in total (VPS 1.2, HJK 1.6). Over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance.
When and where is VPS vs HJK?
Monday 2 November at 16:00 UTC, in the Veikkausliiga (Finland).
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