América de Cali v Fortaleza FCPrediction

Primera A, Colombia2026-10-29 23:15 UTC

Analysis & breakdown

Written from the numbers on this page.

América de Cali play Fortaleza FC in the Primera A. Our pick is published about 48 hours before kick-off; until then, this is how the numbers see the match.

Chances of the result: América de Cali 61%, draw 24%, Fortaleza FC 14%. Expected goals: 2.4 in total (América de Cali 1.8, Fortaleza FC 0.6).

Recent form, newest first: América de Cali W-D-L-W-W, Fortaleza FC D-L-D-D-D. Last 3 meetings: América de Cali won 2, Fortaleza FC won 0, 1 drawn.

Oracle Conviction

Pick coming

Published 2026-10-27 23:15 UTC

We choose the pick about 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. After that it does not change.

América de Cali	Tale of the tape	Fortaleza FC
1.76	Expected goals	0.64
WDLWW	Last 5	DLDDD
8–5	Goals, last 5	5–6
2	Meetings won, 1 drawn	0

2026-04-23 Fortaleza FC 1-2 América de Cali
2025-03-31 América de Cali 1-0 Fortaleza FC
2024-03-17 Fortaleza FC 0-0 América de Cali

How the match could go

América de Cali win: 61%
Draw: 24%
Fortaleza FC win: 14%

Over 2.5 goals	44%
Both teams to score	44%
Goals expected in total	2.40

Chances by market

Bookmakers' chances with their margin taken out where they price the market; our models' chances where they don't. The fair price is 1 divided by the chance.

Market	Chance	Fair price	Best price
América de Cali to win	61%	1.63	1.54
Draw	24%	4.10	3.71
Fortaleza FC to win	14%	7.05	6.05
América de Cali or draw	85%	1.18	1.10
Draw or Fortaleza FC	40%	2.50	2.33
Either team to win	75%	1.33	1.25
Over 1.5 goals	71%	1.41	1.34
Over 2.5 goals	44%	2.25	2.09
Over 3.5 goals	23%	4.34	3.71
Under 2.5 goals	56%	1.80	1.69
Under 3.5 goals	77%	1.30	1.24
Both teams to score	44%	2.28	2.09
Not both teams to score	56%	1.78	1.67