Austin FC v Real Salt LakePrediction
MLS, USA
AI Analysis & Breakdown
Written by an AI model from the numbers on this page. Every figure was checked against them before publishing.
Austin FC face Real Salt Lake in this upcoming MLS fixture on October 29, 2026. Both teams meet with differing recent form as they head into the match.
The numbers point to a close contest, with Austin FC given a 38% chance of victory compared to 36% for Real Salt Lake and a 26% chance for a draw. Expected goals are close at 1.3 for Austin FC and 1.4 for Real Salt Lake, while both teams to score is rated at 63%.
Oracle Conviction
Pick coming
Published
We choose the pick about 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. After that it does not change.
Tale of the tape
 Austin FC | Tale of the tape | Real Salt Lake |
|---|---|---|
| 1.29 | Expected goals | 1.40 |
| WLLLD | Last 5 | WWDLW |
| 8–13 | Goals, last 5 | 11–4 |
| 0 | Meetings won, 2 drawn | 3 |
- 2026-03-15 Real Salt Lake 2-1 Austin FC
- 2025-09-28 Real Salt Lake 3-1 Austin FC
- 2025-05-29 Austin FC 1-1 Real Salt Lake
- 2024-09-29 Austin FC 2-2 Real Salt Lake
- 2024-06-02 Real Salt Lake 5-1 Austin FC
How the match could go
- Austin FC win
- 38%
- Draw
- 26%
- Real Salt Lake win
- 36%
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Both teams to score | 63% |
| Goals expected in total | 2.69 |
Chances by market
Bookmakers' chances with their margin taken out where they price the market; our models' chances where they don't. The fair price is 1 divided by the chance.
| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin FC to win | 38% | 2.64 | 2.45 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.87 | 3.50 |
| Real Salt Lake to win | 36% | 2.76 | 2.55 |
| Austin FC or draw | 63% | 1.58 | 1.50 |
| Draw or Real Salt Lake | 63% | 1.58 | 1.50 |
| Either team to win | 74% | 1.36 | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 | 1.57 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | 2.25 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.53 | 2.35 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | 1.57 |
| Both teams to score | 63% | 1.58 | 1.50 |
| Not both teams to score | 37% | 2.73 | 2.50 |
Questions about this match
When is the prediction for Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake published?
About 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. It is fixed from then on.
Who is more likely to win, Austin FC or Real Salt Lake?
Austin FC win 38%, draw 26%, Real Salt Lake win 36%.
Will both teams score in Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake?
We give both teams to score a 63% chance, and not both teams to score 37%.
How many goals are expected in Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake?
Expected goals: 2.7 in total (Austin FC 1.3, Real Salt Lake 1.4). Over 2.5 goals has a 61% chance.
When and where is Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake?
Thursday 29 October at 00:30 UTC, in the MLS (USA).
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