Fylde v HornchurchPrediction
National League, EnglandWesham
Analysis & breakdown
Written from the numbers on this page.
Fylde play Hornchurch at Wesham in the National League. Our pick is published about 48 hours before kick-off; until then, this is how the numbers see the match.
Chances of the result: Fylde 54%, draw 23%, Hornchurch 23%. Expected goals: 3.3 in total (Fylde 1.8, Hornchurch 1.4).
In the table, Fylde are 8th on 23 points and Hornchurch are 10th on 21. Recent form, newest first: Fylde L-W-L-L-W, Hornchurch L-W-L-W-L.
Oracle Conviction
Pick coming
Published
We choose the pick about 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. After that it does not change.
Tale of the tape
| Fylde | Tale of the tape | Hornchurch |
|---|---|---|
| 1.84 | Expected goals | 1.44 |
| 8th of 24 | League position | 10th of 24 |
| 23 | Points | 21 |
| LWLLW | Last 5 | LWLWL |
| 4–9 | Goals, last 5 | 5–9 |
How the match could go
- Fylde win
- 54%
- Draw
- 23%
- Hornchurch win
- 23%
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% |
| Both teams to score | 64% |
| Goals expected in total | 3.28 |
Chances by market
Bookmakers' chances with their margin taken out where they price the market; our models' chances where they don't. The fair price is 1 divided by the chance.
| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fylde to win | 54% | 1.85 | 1.74 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.36 | 3.86 |
| Hornchurch to win | 23% | 4.33 | 3.84 |
| Fylde or draw | 76% | 1.31 | 1.21 |
| Draw or Hornchurch | 47% | 2.13 | 1.97 |
| Either team to win | 77% | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 | 1.11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.57 | 1.47 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | 2.15 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.75 | 2.46 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | 1.60 |
| Both teams to score | 64% | 1.56 | 1.47 |
| Not both teams to score | 36% | 2.77 | 2.50 |
Questions about this match
When is the prediction for Fylde vs Hornchurch published?
About 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. It is fixed from then on.
Who is more likely to win, Fylde or Hornchurch?
Fylde win 54%, draw 23%, Hornchurch win 23%.
Will both teams score in Fylde vs Hornchurch?
We give both teams to score a 64% chance, and not both teams to score 36%.
How many goals are expected in Fylde vs Hornchurch?
Expected goals: 3.3 in total (Fylde 1.8, Hornchurch 1.4). Over 2.5 goals has a 64% chance.
When and where is Fylde vs Hornchurch?
Friday 30 October at 19:45 UTC, in the National League (England), at Wesham.
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