Jong Ajax v VitessePrediction
Eerste Divisie, NetherlandsDuivendrecht, Amsterdam-Duivendrecht
Analysis & breakdown
Written from the numbers on this page.
Jong Ajax play Vitesse at Duivendrecht in the Eerste Divisie. Our pick is published about 48 hours before kick-off; until then, this is how the numbers see the match.
Result chances: Jong Ajax 31%, draw 25%, Vitesse 44%.
In the table, Jong Ajax are 15th on 12 points and Vitesse are 9th on 17.
Recent form, newest first: Jong Ajax D-W-L-D-L, Vitesse L-W-L-D-L.
Expected goals: 3.0 in total (Jong Ajax 1.3, Vitesse 1.6).
Oracle Conviction
Pick coming
Published
We choose the pick about 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. After that it does not change.
Tale of the tape
 Jong Ajax | Tale of the tape |  Vitesse |
|---|---|---|
| 1.34 | Expected goals | 1.64 |
| 15th of 20 | League position | 9th of 20 |
| 12 | Points | 17 |
| DWLDL | Last 5 | LWLDL |
| 6–13 | Goals, last 5 | 3–8 |
| 1 | Meetings won, 2 drawn | 1 |
- 2026-04-06 Vitesse 6-1 Jong Ajax
- 2025-12-01 Jong Ajax 2-0 Vitesse
- 2025-04-14 Jong Ajax 1-1 Vitesse
- 2024-09-21 Vitesse 2-2 Jong Ajax
How the match could go
- Jong Ajax win
- 31%
- Draw
- 25%
- Vitesse win
- 44%
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Both teams to score | 60% |
| Goals expected in total | 2.99 |
Chances by market
Bookmakers' chances with their margin taken out where they price the market; our models' chances where they don't. The fair price is 1 divided by the chance.
| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Ajax to win | 31% | 3.22 | – |
| Draw | 25% | 4.06 | – |
| Vitesse to win | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Jong Ajax or draw | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Draw or Vitesse | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Either team to win | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.86 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.35 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Not both teams to score | 40% | 2.49 | – |
Questions about this match
When is the prediction for Jong Ajax vs Vitesse published?
About 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. It is fixed from then on.
Who is more likely to win, Jong Ajax or Vitesse?
Jong Ajax win 31%, draw 25%, Vitesse win 44%.
Will both teams score in Jong Ajax vs Vitesse?
We give both teams to score a 60% chance, and not both teams to score 40%.
How many goals are expected in Jong Ajax vs Vitesse?
Expected goals: 3.0 in total (Jong Ajax 1.3, Vitesse 1.6). Over 2.5 goals has a 57% chance.
When and where is Jong Ajax vs Vitesse?
Monday 2 November at 19:00 UTC, in the Eerste Divisie (Netherlands), at Duivendrecht, Amsterdam-Duivendrecht.
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