Leça FC v VarzimPrediction
Liga 3, Portugal
Analysis & breakdown
Written from the numbers on this page.
Leça FC play Varzim in the Liga 3. Our pick is published about 48 hours before kick-off; until then, this is how the numbers see the match.
Chances of the result: Leça FC 35%, draw 26%, Varzim 39%. Expected goals: 2.6 in total (Leça FC 1.3, Varzim 1.3).
Recent form, newest first: Leça FC L-W-W-L-W, Varzim L-L-L-L-W.
Oracle Conviction
Pick coming
Published
We choose the pick about 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. After that it does not change.
Tale of the tape
| Leça FC | Tale of the tape | Varzim |
|---|---|---|
| 1.25 | Expected goals | 1.35 |
| LWWLW | Last 5 | LLLLW |
| 8–6 | Goals, last 5 | 8–10 |
How the match could go
- Leça FC win
- 35%
- Draw
- 26%
- Varzim win
- 39%
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Goals expected in total | 2.60 |
Chances by market
Bookmakers' chances with their margin taken out where they price the market; our models' chances where they don't. The fair price is 1 divided by the chance.
| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leça FC to win | 35% | 2.87 | – |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 | – |
| Varzim to win | 39% | 2.55 | – |
| Leça FC or draw | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Draw or Varzim | 65% | 1.53 | – |
| Either team to win | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Not both teams to score | 47% | 2.11 | – |
Questions about this match
When is the prediction for Leça FC vs Varzim published?
About 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. It is fixed from then on.
Who is more likely to win, Leça FC or Varzim?
Leça FC win 35%, draw 26%, Varzim win 39%.
Will both teams score in Leça FC vs Varzim?
We give both teams to score a 53% chance, and not both teams to score 47%.
How many goals are expected in Leça FC vs Varzim?
Expected goals: 2.6 in total (Leça FC 1.3, Varzim 1.3). Over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance.
When and where is Leça FC vs Varzim?
Saturday 31 October at 15:00 UTC, in the Liga 3 (Portugal).
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