Penafiel v FeirensePrediction
Liga Portugal 2, PortugalPenafiel
Analysis & breakdown
Written from the numbers on this page.
Penafiel play Feirense at Penafiel in the Liga Portugal 2. Our pick is published about 48 hours before kick-off; until then, this is how the numbers see the match.
Result chances: Penafiel 45%, draw 29%, Feirense 26%.
In the table, Penafiel are 3rd on 16 points and Feirense are 18th on 2.
Recent form, newest first: Penafiel W-L-W-W-W, Feirense D-L-L-L-L.
Expected goals: 2.1 in total (Penafiel 1.3, Feirense 0.9).
Oracle Conviction
Pick coming
Published
We choose the pick about 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. After that it does not change.
Tale of the tape
 Penafiel | Tale of the tape |  Feirense |
|---|---|---|
| 1.25 | Expected goals | 0.88 |
| 3rd of 18 | League position | 18th of 18 |
| 16 | Points | 2 |
| WLWWW | Last 5 | DLLLL |
| 14–5 | Goals, last 5 | 2–8 |
| 1 | Meetings won | 4 |
- 2026-03-15 Feirense 1-0 Penafiel
- 2025-10-19 Penafiel 1-2 Feirense
- 2025-04-19 Penafiel 1-2 Feirense
- 2024-12-07 Feirense 3-0 Penafiel
- 2024-01-29 Penafiel 2-1 Feirense
How the match could go
- Penafiel win
- 45%
- Draw
- 29%
- Feirense win
- 26%
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% |
| Both teams to score | 42% |
| Goals expected in total | 2.13 |
Chances by market
Bookmakers' chances with their margin taken out where they price the market; our models' chances where they don't. The fair price is 1 divided by the chance.
| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel to win | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Draw | 29% | 3.49 | – |
| Feirense to win | 26% | 3.81 | – |
| Penafiel or draw | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Draw or Feirense | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Either team to win | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | 1.60 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.79 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 5.98 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Both teams to score | 42% | 2.41 | – |
| Not both teams to score | 58% | 1.71 | – |
Questions about this match
When is the prediction for Penafiel vs Feirense published?
About 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. It is fixed from then on.
Who is more likely to win, Penafiel or Feirense?
Penafiel win 45%, draw 29%, Feirense win 26%.
Will both teams score in Penafiel vs Feirense?
We give both teams to score a 42% chance, and not both teams to score 58%.
How many goals are expected in Penafiel vs Feirense?
Expected goals: 2.1 in total (Penafiel 1.3, Feirense 0.9). Over 2.5 goals has a 36% chance.
When and where is Penafiel vs Feirense?
Monday 2 November at 18:00 UTC, in the Liga Portugal 2 (Portugal), at Penafiel.
Torreense
Amarante
Leixoes
Sporting CP B