Rayo Vallecano de Madrid v RC Celta de VigoPrediction
La Liga, SpainCampo de Fútbol de Vallecas
Analysis & breakdown
Written from the numbers on this page.
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid play RC Celta de Vigo at Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas in the La Liga. Our pick is published about 48 hours before kick-off; until then, this is how the numbers see the match.
Chances of the result: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 42%, draw 28%, RC Celta de Vigo 30%. Expected goals: 2.6 in total (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1.4, RC Celta de Vigo 1.2).
In the table, Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 17th on 9 points and RC Celta de Vigo are 9th on 11. Recent form, newest first: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid L-D-D-W-L, RC Celta de Vigo D-W-D-W-D.
Oracle Conviction
Pick coming
Published
We choose the pick about 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. After that it does not change.
Tale of the tape
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Tale of the tape | RC Celta de Vigo |
|---|---|---|
| 1.42 | Expected goals | 1.16 |
| 17th of 20 | League position | 9th of 20 |
| 9 | Points | 11 |
| LDDWL | Last 5 | DWDWD |
| 5–10 | Goals, last 5 | 8–2 |
| 2 | Meetings won, 2 drawn | 1 |
- 2026-01-18 RC Celta de Vigo 3-0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
- 2025-09-21 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1-1 RC Celta de Vigo
- 2025-05-18 RC Celta de Vigo 1-2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
- 2025-01-10 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2-1 RC Celta de Vigo
- 2024-03-31 RC Celta de Vigo 0-0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
How the match could go
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win
- 42%
- Draw
- 28%
- RC Celta de Vigo win
- 30%
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Goals expected in total | 2.58 |
Chances by market
Bookmakers' chances with their margin taken out where they price the market; our models' chances where they don't. The fair price is 1 divided by the chance.
| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win | 42% | 2.41 | 2.35 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.55 | 3.40 |
| RC Celta de Vigo to win | 30% | 3.29 | 3.10 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or draw | 69% | 1.44 | – |
| Draw or RC Celta de Vigo | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Either team to win | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.18 | 2.08 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.87 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | 1.77 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Both teams to score | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Not both teams to score | 48% | 2.09 | – |
Questions about this match
When is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs RC Celta de Vigo published?
About 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. It is fixed from then on.
Who is more likely to win, Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or RC Celta de Vigo?
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win 42%, draw 28%, RC Celta de Vigo win 30%.
Will both teams score in Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs RC Celta de Vigo?
We give both teams to score a 52% chance, and not both teams to score 48%.
How many goals are expected in Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs RC Celta de Vigo?
Expected goals: 2.6 in total (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1.4, RC Celta de Vigo 1.2). Over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance.
When and where is Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs RC Celta de Vigo?
Sunday 1 November at 00:00 UTC, in the La Liga (Spain), at Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas.
Deportivo Alavés
Elche CF
Valencia