Heerenveen v NijmegenPrediction
Eredivisie, NetherlandsHeerenveen
Analysis & breakdown
Written from the numbers on this page.
Heerenveen play Nijmegen at Heerenveen in the Eredivisie. Our pick is published about 48 hours before kick-off; until then, this is how the numbers see the match.
Chances of the result: Heerenveen 38%, draw 23%, Nijmegen 39%. Expected goals: 3.4 in total (Heerenveen 1.7, Nijmegen 1.7).
In the table, Heerenveen are 6th on 15 points and Nijmegen are 14th on 10. Recent form, newest first: Heerenveen W-W-L-W-D, Nijmegen D-D-D-D-L.
Oracle Conviction
Pick coming
Published
We choose the pick about 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. After that it does not change.
Tale of the tape
| Heerenveen | Tale of the tape | Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|
| 1.69 | Expected goals | 1.73 |
| 6th of 20 | League position | 14th of 20 |
| 15 | Points | 10 |
| WWLWD | Last 5 | DDDDL |
| 11–4 | Goals, last 5 | 6–9 |
| 2 | Meetings won, 1 drawn | 2 |
- 2026-03-22 Nijmegen 2-2 Heerenveen
- 2025-09-21 Heerenveen 3-2 Nijmegen
- 2025-04-27 Heerenveen 1-0 Nijmegen
- 2024-10-19 Nijmegen 3-0 Heerenveen
- 2024-03-10 Nijmegen 2-0 Heerenveen
How the match could go
- Heerenveen win
- 38%
- Draw
- 23%
- Nijmegen win
- 39%
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams to score | 67% |
| Goals expected in total | 3.43 |
Chances by market
Bookmakers' chances with their margin taken out where they price the market; our models' chances where they don't. The fair price is 1 divided by the chance.
| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen to win | 38% | 2.66 | – |
| Draw | 23% | 4.35 | – |
| Nijmegen to win | 39% | 2.54 | – |
| Heerenveen or draw | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Draw or Nijmegen | 62% | 1.60 | – |
| Either team to win | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 2.99 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Both teams to score | 67% | 1.48 | – |
| Not both teams to score | 33% | 3.07 | – |
Questions about this match
When is the prediction for Heerenveen vs Nijmegen published?
About 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. It is fixed from then on.
Who is more likely to win, Heerenveen or Nijmegen?
Heerenveen win 38%, draw 23%, Nijmegen win 39%.
Will both teams score in Heerenveen vs Nijmegen?
We give both teams to score a 67% chance, and not both teams to score 33%.
How many goals are expected in Heerenveen vs Nijmegen?
Expected goals: 3.4 in total (Heerenveen 1.7, Nijmegen 1.7). Over 2.5 goals has a 67% chance.
When and where is Heerenveen vs Nijmegen?
Saturday 31 October at 17:45 UTC, in the Eredivisie (Netherlands), at Heerenveen.
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