Gil Vicente v GuimaraesPrediction
Primeira Liga, PortugalBarcelos
Analysis & breakdown
Written from the numbers on this page.
Gil Vicente play Guimaraes at Barcelos in the Primeira Liga. Our pick is published about 48 hours before kick-off; until then, this is how the numbers see the match.
Result chances: Gil Vicente 40%, draw 28%, Guimaraes 32%.
In the table, Gil Vicente are 7th on 14 points and Guimaraes are 11th on 8.
Recent form, newest first: Gil Vicente L-W-W-D-L, Guimaraes W-L-D-L-D.
Expected goals: 2.3 in total (Gil Vicente 1.2, Guimaraes 1.0).
Oracle Conviction
Pick coming
Published
We choose the pick about 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. After that it does not change.
Tale of the tape
| Gil Vicente | Tale of the tape | Guimaraes |
|---|---|---|
| 1.21 | Expected goals | 1.04 |
| 7th of 18 | League position | 11th of 18 |
| 14 | Points | 8 |
| LWWDL | Last 5 | WLDLD |
| 5–6 | Goals, last 5 | 7–5 |
| 1 | Meetings won, 1 drawn | 3 |
- 2026-04-18 Gil Vicente 0-1 Guimaraes
- 2025-12-08 Guimaraes 0-0 Gil Vicente
- 2025-04-11 Gil Vicente 0-1 Guimaraes
- 2024-12-02 Guimaraes 4-0 Gil Vicente
- 2024-01-28 Gil Vicente 1-0 Guimaraes
How the match could go
- Gil Vicente win
- 40%
- Draw
- 28%
- Guimaraes win
- 32%
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Goals expected in total | 2.25 |
Chances by market
Bookmakers' chances with their margin taken out where they price the market; our models' chances where they don't. The fair price is 1 divided by the chance.
| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente to win | 40% | 2.49 | – |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 | – |
| Guimaraes to win | 32% | 3.17 | – |
| Gil Vicente or draw | 68% | 1.46 | – |
| Draw or Guimaraes | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Either team to win | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.55 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.22 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Both teams to score | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Not both teams to score | 55% | 1.83 | – |
Questions about this match
When is the prediction for Gil Vicente vs Guimaraes published?
About 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. It is fixed from then on.
Who is more likely to win, Gil Vicente or Guimaraes?
Gil Vicente win 40%, draw 28%, Guimaraes win 32%.
Will both teams score in Gil Vicente vs Guimaraes?
We give both teams to score a 45% chance, and not both teams to score 55%.
How many goals are expected in Gil Vicente vs Guimaraes?
Expected goals: 2.3 in total (Gil Vicente 1.2, Guimaraes 1.0). Over 2.5 goals has a 39% chance.
When and where is Gil Vicente vs Guimaraes?
Monday 2 November at 20:15 UTC, in the Primeira Liga (Portugal), at Barcelos.
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
Estrela
Porto
Arouca
Nacional
Academico Viseu