Sassuolo v FiorentinaPrediction
Serie A, ItalyMapei Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Analysis & breakdown
Written from the numbers on this page.
Sassuolo play Fiorentina at Mapei Stadium - Città del Tricolore in the Serie A. Our pick is published about 48 hours before kick-off; until then, this is how the numbers see the match.
Result chances: Sassuolo 38%, draw 26%, Fiorentina 36%.
In the table, Sassuolo are 14th on 8 points and Fiorentina are 18th on 4.
Recent form, newest first: Sassuolo L-L-D-L-W, Fiorentina L-L-L-D-W.
Expected goals: 3.0 in total (Sassuolo 1.5, Fiorentina 1.5).
Oracle Conviction
Pick coming
Published
We choose the pick about 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. After that it does not change.
Tale of the tape
| Sassuolo | Tale of the tape | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| 1.51 | Expected goals | 1.45 |
| 14th of 20 | League position | 18th of 20 |
| 8 | Points | 4 |
| LLDLW | Last 5 | LLLDW |
| 7–11 | Goals, last 5 | 8–10 |
| 2 | Meetings won, 1 drawn | 2 |
- 2026-04-26 Fiorentina 0-0 Sassuolo
- 2025-12-06 Sassuolo 3-1 Fiorentina
- 2024-04-28 Fiorentina 5-1 Sassuolo
- 2024-01-06 Sassuolo 1-0 Fiorentina
- 2023-06-02 Sassuolo 1-3 Fiorentina
How the match could go
- Sassuolo win
- 38%
- Draw
- 26%
- Fiorentina win
- 36%
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Both teams to score | 60% |
| Goals expected in total | 2.96 |
Chances by market
Bookmakers' chances with their margin taken out where they price the market; our models' chances where they don't. The fair price is 1 divided by the chance.
| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo to win | 38% | 2.62 | – |
| Draw | 26% | 3.85 | – |
| Fiorentina to win | 36% | 2.79 | – |
| Sassuolo or draw | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Draw or Fiorentina | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Either team to win | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.91 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Not both teams to score | 40% | 2.52 | – |
Questions about this match
When is the prediction for Sassuolo vs Fiorentina published?
About 48 hours before kick-off, once bookmakers have priced the match. It is fixed from then on.
Who is more likely to win, Sassuolo or Fiorentina?
Sassuolo win 38%, draw 26%, Fiorentina win 36%.
Will both teams score in Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
We give both teams to score a 60% chance, and not both teams to score 40%.
How many goals are expected in Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
Expected goals: 3.0 in total (Sassuolo 1.5, Fiorentina 1.5). Over 2.5 goals has a 57% chance.
When and where is Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
Monday 2 November at 17:30 UTC, in the Serie A (Italy), at Mapei Stadium - Città del Tricolore.
Lazio
Cagliari
Bologna
Parma